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Politico (6 February 225)

By Nette Nöstlinger, Rasmus Buchsteiner, Jürgen Klöckner and Hanne Cokelaere

The question is not who will be Germany’s next chancellor, but rather which of his rivals he’ll govern with.

So while we’re fairly sure Friedrich Merz’s conservatives will be in charge — the outcome seems almost nailed on according to the polls — that’s just where the story begins, as the design of Germany’s political system means a coalition of parties is almost inevitable.

And while the overall winner of the Feb. 23 election looks boringly predictable, the makeup of the coalition is still very much up in the air.

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